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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | haveagoodday | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 37% (1472–2483, n=3955) | 65% (885–467, n=1352) | 50% (19547–19609, n=39156) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $31K | $4.2M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 83% (1510 of 1819 open) | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 70% (33 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.