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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (6–4, n=10)no settled market75% (9–3, n=12)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL-$33K$0$84K-$53K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #110PM monthly #40PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (18 of 34 open)74% (67 of 90 open)no open consensus position51% (42 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=19NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won26% of 1304 at avg 23¢, ROI 0%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 8% of 920)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 59% of 158)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 153)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 86% of 73)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7ndb1primmRN1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7No $54K——
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6No $15——
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $6No $85K——
Will FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3——Yes $279