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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (1233–1284, n=2517)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$13K$6.1M$11.0M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #813was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus41% (31 of 76 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (76 of 114 open)61% (133 of 219 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=390NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won47% of 1392 at avg 46¢, ROI +2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 10% of 523)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 40% of 246)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 64% of 199)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 88% of 424)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1——Under $11K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5——Over $3.9K
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Valentino Grippo $3——Genaro Alberto Olivieri $710
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13—Yes $34K—
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $10——Under $2.9K