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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (290–69, n=359) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #585 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 35% (6 of 17 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=13 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 298 at avg 81¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 22% of 41) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 50% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 79% of 14) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 100% of 231) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | No $444K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | — | Yes $39K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | — | Yes $171K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | No $101K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | Yes $80K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $10 | — | No $22K | — |