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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (807–616, n=1423) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1041–1060, n=2101) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $11.0M | $5.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #818 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (61 of 95 open) | 69% (79 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=885 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1699 at avg 62¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 602) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 42% of 48) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 70% of 60) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 989) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4 | Yes $33K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | Yes $287K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $110 | No $42K | — | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $141 | No $2.5K | — | — |