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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)39% (1269–1981, n=3250)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$53K$6.1M$11.0M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus44% (4 of 9 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (76 of 114 open)62% (133 of 213 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won37% of 2119 at avg 37¢, ROI 0%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 17% of 1023)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 39% of 536)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 60% of 345)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 86% of 215)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8——No $21K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $104——Yes $17K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14——Yes $8.8K
Will Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2——No $1.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12——No $283
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
No $106—No $10K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $18——No $3.3K
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
No $92——No $91