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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksRN1beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (2523–2341, n=4864)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$1.1K$13.4M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #945PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)36% (5 of 14 open)100% (2 of 2 open)85% (53 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1521 at avg 53¢, ROI +45%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 27)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 564)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 100% of 783)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 147)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksRN1beachboy4BreakTheBank
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $660——Commanders $188K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $250——Commanders $44K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $274Commanders $2.3K——
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $301Under $1.1K——