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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #229 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (59 of 87 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409f | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $188 | No $253K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.2K | No $202K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $9.7K | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $43K | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | No $35K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | Yes $28K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $182 | Yes $20K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $274K | — |