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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)34% (435–832, n=1267)67% (43–21, n=64)66% (876–458, n=1334)
Consensus PnL$119K$6.1M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #33was PM monthly #24PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus65% (144 of 222 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (28 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=687NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 3% of 1478)3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 43% of 121)30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 70% of 163)54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 98% of 2142)14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4ndb1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11—No $1.9M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $79—Yes $544K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $80—Yes $324K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1—No $7.0K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $281—No $1.4M
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $188—No $94K