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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (281–527, n=808) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $11.0M | $5.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #218 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 55% (26 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=169 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 1432 at avg 57¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 2% of 587) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 48% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 71% of 41) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 99% of 773) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $125 | Yes $31K | — | — |