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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xNuttawut | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (1338–1286, n=2624) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) |
| Consensus PnL | -$50K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #541 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #56 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (150 of 205 open) | 72% (70 of 97 open) | 75% (15 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −3 pts, n=945 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 2359 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 25% of 4) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 47% of 891) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 54% of 1375) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 74% of 89) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xNuttawut | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $165 | — | Lions $47K |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $5.5K | — | Chiefs $49K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $170 | — | Colts $5.1K |
| Rams vs. Commanders same side · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $221 | — | Commanders $247 |