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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (135–129, n=264)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$6.2K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #592PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus53% (51 of 96 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won84% of 160 at avg 78¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 24% of 21)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 57% of 7)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 94% of 18)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 95% of 114)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $346Yes $272K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $169No $90K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $38Yes $38K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3Yes $1.1K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6No $747
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $81No $590
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
No $2No $252K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $83Yes $71K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27Yes $4.1K