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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (154–152, n=306) | 47% (13855–15340, n=29195) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.2K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #592 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (43 of 72 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=10 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 161 at avg 77¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 24% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 63% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 94% of 18) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 95% of 114) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $340 | — | — | Yes $274K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | — | No $118K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $161 | — | — | No $114K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $885 | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $90 | — | — | Yes $83K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | — | Yes $18K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | — | — | Yes $6.8K |