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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)39% (147–226, n=373)61% (393–247, n=640)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)45% (537–652, n=1189)
Consensus PnL$106K$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #300PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus51% (39 of 76 open)50% (1 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)85% (51 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 234 at avg 63¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 19% of 54)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 64% of 25)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 82% of 39)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 116)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $63K——No $292K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25K——Yes $34K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6K——No $117K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——Yes $85K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——Yes $64K