← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (15211–13084, n=28295) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $356K | $7.9M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (284 of 440 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy ±0 pts, n=124 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 15164 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 11% of 8103) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 1871) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 89% of 1750) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 3440) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38 | Yes $13K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $337K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | Yes $78K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $37 | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $683 | No $2.3K | — | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? same side · consensus No | Yes $381 | — | Yes $379 | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $47 | Yes $28 | — | — |