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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (14862–12474, n=27336)65% (901–484, n=1385)47% (13877–15390, n=29267)
Consensus PnL$353K$4.4M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #90PM monthly #101PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (523 of 895 open)70% (106 of 151 open)50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +18 pts n=2680, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=652, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=125NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won46% of 14654 at avg 37¢, ROI +8%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢53% (won 11% of 7732)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 59% of 1834)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 89% of 1730)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 3358)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495ndb1RN1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $271No $1.0M—
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $28No $1.0M—
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22No $679—
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $628No $87K—
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
same side · consensus No
Yes $347Yes $345—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
Yes $35Yes $24—