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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xdc3E831cad | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1048–1550, n=2598) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #289 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (58 of 76 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=261 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 3268 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 7% of 1835) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 45% of 120) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 63% of 126) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 95% of 1187) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xdc3E831cad | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | No $412K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $8 | No $40K | — | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | Yes $118 | — | — |