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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xdc3E831cad | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1065–1565, n=2630) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #289 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (63 of 83 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=261 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 3268 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 56% (won 7% of 1835) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 45% of 120) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 63% of 126) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 95% of 1187) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xdc3E831cad | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | — | No $292K | — |