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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (427–151, n=578)42% (115–156, n=271)69% (307–141, n=448)
Consensus PnL—$57K$251K-$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #940PM monthly #20PM monthly #29PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (86 of 122 open)48% (10 of 21 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Rincon
—Daniel Rincon $714Santiago De La Fuente $489Santiago De La Fuente $234
Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $18KAdrian Andreev $113KAdrian Andreev $27K
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
opposite sides · consensus Marvin Moeller
—Marvin Moeller $231Nikolai Barsukov $923—
Hersonissos 3: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $84—Gilles Arnaud Bailly $250
Lima: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryo Tabata
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Ryo Tabata $1Juan Carlos Prado $122—
Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $14Carole Monnet $13
Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Luca Nardi
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Luca Nardi $3Luca Nardi $829—
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $54—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685
Nepal Premier League: Sudurpaschim Royals vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Sudurpaschim Royals
—Sudurpaschim Royals $202Sudurpaschim Royals $256—