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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (379–285, n=664) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) |
| Consensus PnL | -$93K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #661 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (17 of 24 open) | 72% (83 of 116 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 483 at avg 60¢, ROI +24% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 21% of 24) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 83% of 88) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 94% of 239) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 132) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.5K | No $24K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | No $598 | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.7K | No $757 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $458 | Yes $27K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A same side · consensus Heroic | B8 $5.4K | — | B8 $20K | — |