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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (280–330, n=610) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 50% (1116–1128, n=2244) | 48% (14232–15729, n=29961) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #241 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (88 of 141 open) | 68% (52 of 77 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (9 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 712 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 6% of 361) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 62% of 21) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 96% of 25) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 99% of 305) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.4K | No $500K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.1K | Yes $915K | — | — |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $55K | No $87K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $26K | No $84K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $9.7K | No $42K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | No $29K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $864 | No $20K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | No $678 | — | — |