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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankUpTheBluesVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (20465–20314, n=40779)40% (299–445, n=744)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$3.2M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #541PM monthly #3PM monthly #7PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus80% (8 of 10 open)85% (29 of 34 open)67% (41 of 61 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)7% (won 99% of 2623)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 7839)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 100% of 8452)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)51% (won 100% of 19323)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankUpTheBluesVale54holi
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $7.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $22K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $154—No $15K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21—Yes $3.8K—