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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankrayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)41% (616–869, n=1485)53% (3028–2690, n=5718)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$8.4M$1.8K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #1was PM monthly #981PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)89% (33 of 37 open)56% (19 of 34 open)58% (42 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=1035, ROI +44%
  • Tennis +49 pts n=27, ROI +46%
  • NBA +50 pts n=23, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%98% of 1147 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 82% of 60)3% (won 97% of 29)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)36% (won 98% of 212)31% (won 98% of 361)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 100% of 205)52% (won 98% of 594)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)20% (won 100% of 116)14% (won 98% of 163)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankrayvanmechelenRN1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.8K
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $9Under $2.6K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5K——Cavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $146—No $282—
Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $5No $217