Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfe787d...d10319primmrayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)36% (3228–5686, n=8914)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)54% (2325–2004, n=4329)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$3.8M$3.6M$23K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #772PM monthly #50PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (5 of 10 open)no open consensus position66% (25 of 38 open)61% (66 of 108 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 405)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 485)51% (won 98% of 507)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 46)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfe787d...d10319primmrayvanmechelenRN1
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
opposite sides · consensus Jake Delaney
Jake Delaney $14K—Omar Jasika $10Jake Delaney $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $169Over $1.5K
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $930
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5Over $747
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $10Over $85
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $9Lakers $3
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $11No $5.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $371No $2.4K
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $29No $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $382
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $11Quentin Halys $1.3K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $863——Clippers $215
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15Under $783
Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1Under $57
Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $50No $3