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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1000monkeysBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)57% (366–276, n=642)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$94K$11.2M$3.3M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #896PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus100% (7 of 7 open)59% (13 of 22 open)65% (282 of 436 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +34 pts n=473, ROI +52%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won68% of 473 at avg 34¢, ROI +52%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 35% of 188)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 87% of 181)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 95% of 94)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 10)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1000monkeysBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $56KNo $115K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $642KNo $181K—