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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 3648393489047 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1179–671, n=1850) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$120K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −12 pts, n=46 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1907 at avg 62¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 10% of 240) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 34% of 278) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 65% of 618) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 90% of 771) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 3648393489047 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $47K | Commanders $1.0M | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $433 | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $125 | — |