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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 3648393489047 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1179–673, n=1852) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | -$160K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NFL −12 pts, n=46 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1907 at avg 62¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 10% of 240) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 34% of 278) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 65% of 618) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 90% of 771) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 3648393489047 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $58K | Commanders $28K | — | — |