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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5772–6954, n=12726) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $10.6M | $5.3M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (65 of 133 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | No $253K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.9K | Yes $18K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $241 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $358 | No $114K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $425 | Yes $83K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $302 | Yes $31K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | No $30K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $829 | Yes $29K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $476 | No $25K | — | — |