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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
65765757RN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)78% (194–55, n=249)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$25K$13.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (12 of 12 open)58% (26 of 45 open)73% (72 of 98 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 302 at avg 85¢, ROI +9%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 33% of 3)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 78% of 9)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 89% of 27)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up87% (won 95% of 263)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market65765757RN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31K—No $184K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $7.9K—No $214K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—