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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 881112 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (345–694, n=1039) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $401K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #858 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (54 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (143 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | College Football −12 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 800 at avg 39¢, ROI +11% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 23% of 396) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 64% of 102) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 95% of 129) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 100% of 173) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 881112 | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.3K | — | — | No $292K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | — | Yes $34K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.0K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | — | Yes $7.2K |