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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8DDDBreakTheBank00gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)70% (28–12, n=40)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$137K$10.6M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #375PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +33 pts n=12, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=12, ROI +9%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won71% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 11% of 9)10% (won 85% of 53)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 60% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)0%29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 100% of 9)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 11)20% (won 100% of 107)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8DDDBreakTheBank00gringo00beachboy4
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11KNo $411K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19KYes $77K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $44KYes $37K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14KNo $35K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $162Yes $14K——