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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 8DDD | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (28–12, n=40) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $137K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #375 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +11% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 11% of 9) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 60% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 100% of 9) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 8DDD | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $15K | No $412K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $46K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $162 | Yes $14K | — | — |