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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC1234565432100gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (575–521, n=1096)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL-$14K$3.5M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #342was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus48% (57 of 120 open)no open consensus position89% (141 of 159 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +12 pts n=218, ROI +2%
  • F1 +20 pts n=22, ROI −18%
  • MLB +14 pts n=24, ROI −25%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won77% of 331 at avg 63¢, ROI −23%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 56% of 18)0%10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 52% of 86)0%36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 75% of 110)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 99% of 117)0%19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketABC1234565432100gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $218—Yes $274K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $424—No $250K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $505—Yes $172K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $217—No $114K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $160—Yes $282K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $76—Yes $85K—