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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ABC12345654321 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (563–494, n=1057) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | -$13K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #342 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 20% (24 of 119 open) | 85% (55 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 331 at avg 63¢, ROI −23% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 53% of 19) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 52% of 86) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 75% of 110) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 99% of 116) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ABC12345654321 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $222 | Yes $270K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $424 | No $250K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $532 | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $223 | No $112K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $57 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $83 | Yes $85K | — | — |