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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ABC12345654321 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (561–492, n=1053) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$13K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #342 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (30 of 121 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 331 at avg 63¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 53% of 19) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 52% of 86) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 75% of 110) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 99% of 116) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ABC12345654321 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $214 | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $424 | — | — | No $250K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $532 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $223 | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $57 | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $83 | — | — | Yes $85K |