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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Alegrandebigndb1RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)96% (3970–187, n=4157)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$14K$4.8M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus93% (38 of 41 open)73% (111 of 152 open)55% (29 of 53 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112NFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigndb1RN1S-Works
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $5No $42K——
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $627No $29K——
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.5K—Yes $4.5K—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $495Yes $525——