← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $961 | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 32.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | — | — | Over $5.8K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $328 | — | — | Over $3.2K |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $535 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $390 | — | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $223 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | — | Over $22 |