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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnjunCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (2581–2394, n=4975)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$859K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #102 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (79 of 110 open)60% (25 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 3765 at avg 59¢, ROI +11%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 24% of 869)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 80% of 659)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 90% of 611)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 98% of 1626)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnjunCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $395
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K