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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Anon455 | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1355–836, n=2191) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$89K | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #679 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=276 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 1728 at avg 57¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 10% of 305) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 39% of 317) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 70% of 473) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 92% of 633) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Anon455 | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $133 | No $2.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $56 | Over $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $2.7K | Steelers $9.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $79 | Over $3.0K | — |