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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Arman2 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (266–178, n=444) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $418 | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 30% (3 of 10 open) | 46% (6 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Finance −16 pts, n=19 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 551 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 8% of 156) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 33% of 55) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 67% of 75) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 91% of 265) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Arman2 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $664 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $491 | — | Under $655 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |