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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aurelius7BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)47% (286–325, n=611)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)
Consensus PnL-$8.4K$7.7M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #1PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)76% (41 of 54 open)75% (189 of 252 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=60—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 64)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 39% of 64)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 83% of 250)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 26)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAurelius7BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $926Giants $37K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $15KNo $23K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $172KNo $76K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $124KColts $146