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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Barkshire-Hathaway | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (681–362, n=1043) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 61% (393–247, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | $109K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (9 of 15 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1429 at avg 51¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 25% (won 20% of 360) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 46% of 333) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 72% of 324) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 92% of 412) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Barkshire-Hathaway | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | No $202K | — | — |