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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)17% (1482–7264, n=8746)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$564K$7.7M$4.6M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #1PM monthly #108PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus86% (205 of 238 open)88% (29 of 33 open)75% (78 of 104 open)65% (41 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=114—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won66% of 3918 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 1181)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 182)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 68% of 182)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 98% of 2373)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1UpTheBlues
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4—Yes $291—
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $170—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421KNo $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $20—