Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Biggggggggndb1RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)17% (1526–7267, n=8793)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19707–21460, n=41167)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$564K$4.6M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus81% (168 of 207 open)71% (67 of 94 open)54% (14 of 26 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=113NFL −7 pts, n=158—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won66% of 4273 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 6% of 1314)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 194)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 69% of 194)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 98% of 2571)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggndb1RN1weflyhigh
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4Yes $226——
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $173——
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20Yes $29——