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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlondBeastCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)72% (732–286, n=1018)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$38K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus95% (18 of 19 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=35———
Settled positions, side won73% of 811 at avg 68¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 14% of 166)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 43% of 67)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 77% of 88)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 95% of 490)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlondBeastCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.2K——No $184K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $74——No $22K