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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BlondBeast | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (729–284, n=1013) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $38K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (17 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=35 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 811 at avg 68¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 14% of 166) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 43% of 67) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 77% of 88) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 95% of 490) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BlondBeast | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $73 | — | No $26K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $1.1M | Commanders $31K |