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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BoomLaLaBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)58% (5903–4359, n=10262)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$647K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #840PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus40% (6 of 15 open)73% (72 of 98 open)61% (28 of 46 open)67% (6 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 4708 at avg 59¢, ROI +19%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 39% of 318)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 78% of 1589)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 93% of 1292)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 1509)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBoomLaLaBreakTheBankRN1primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $7.4K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $139Magic $24K——
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $165——Over $3.2K