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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Brokie | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 52% (394–361, n=755) | 64% (1102–633, n=1735) | 48% (19552–21306, n=40858) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $286K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #704 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 80% (49 of 61 open) | 73% (71 of 97 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Economy −6 pts, n=17 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 60% of 602 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 33% (won 13% of 198) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 12% (won 54% of 70) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 77% of 87) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 41% (won 95% of 247) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Brokie | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $5.9K | No $24K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $10K | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | No $350K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K | — |