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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankBurkilota1ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)62% (690–425, n=1115)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$145K$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #256PM monthly #103PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus64% (18 of 28 open)33% (15 of 45 open)68% (106 of 155 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=133, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=23, ROI +1%
  • NBA +9 pts n=27, ROI +10%
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=181NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%20% of 558 at avg 16¢, ROI +7%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)88% (won 15% of 493)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)11% (won 63% of 64)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)0% (won 0% of 1)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)0%43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankBurkilota1ndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $42No $335K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $52Yes $11K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $2——
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $88Yes $539—
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $89No $6—
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $14Yes $1—