Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDitto321ferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)49% (309–322, n=631)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$3.6K-$9.5M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #998was PM monthly #87PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)56% (5 of 9 open)67% (6 of 9 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +4 pts n=115, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=71, ROI +8%
  • NBA +22 pts n=10, ROI +41%
Weakest topic—Tennis −5 pts, n=165——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%48% of 583 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 19% of 72)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)40% (won 44% of 234)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)39% (won 52% of 227)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)9% (won 82% of 50)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDitto321ferrariChampions2026RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.7K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $19KJanice Tjen $11K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
——Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $13K
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
——USC Trojans $1.0KUSC Trojans $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
——Alafia Ayeni $105Alafia Ayeni $128